Obama’s sudden ‘evolution’ on gay marriage should have been, ultimately, about as surprising as a sunrise. Any analyst worth his salt can see that it accomplished very little; and probably hurt his chances in November. Those who were going to vote for him anyway were not the kind of people turned off by the prospect of gay couples playing kissy-face for photos in every courthouse in America. It did, however, galvanize and energize Evangelical voters in the South, helping woo them towards the Yankee Mormon that they aren’t particularly enamored with.
He knows he’s fighting against 30+ states that have passed pro-hetero marriage laws. The timing, coming the day after yet another win for opponents of gay marriage in North Carolina, was not accidental. He is attempting to capitalize on leftist outrage and maximize his own base turnout. But he knows that’s not going to save him against a much larger wave of outrage from the other 2/3rds of the electorate over his handling of the economy, foreign policy, Fast & Furious, the shabby treatment of Israel, and support for the terrorism-inclined socialists and anarchists of the Occupy movement. Oh no. This was not about winning in November at all.
What is Barack Obama, really? He is, as much as anything else (and probably more), a narcissist. Faced with the prospect of possibly being on the losing end of the biggest landslide since Reagan, he has started to contemplate how history will judge his presidency. He must have concluded he needed something historical; as if one policy stance could outweigh reams of data showing that he has been a complete and utter catastrophe, economically and militarily speaking. It wasn’t so much an act of desperation, as it was an attempt to accentuate something ‘positive’, such as it were. He needed at least one ‘positive’, and this was what he came up with. It really and truly was, the best he could do.
Even a high school kid understands that no Federal Law concerning marriage at all will pass Constitutional muster, and any fight will lead right back to the states. Even if he could unilaterally impose such a law, it wouldn’t be worth the paper it’s printed on and the issue would find its own equilibrium. Most states would still ban gay marriage, just as they do now. There is no way he could progress the issue, even with his beloved Executive Orders. It just wouldn’t stick. He’s not being delusional, he’s being afraid. Afraid of running out of time to have something chiseled on his political tombstone other than ‘First Black President’ and ‘Destroyer Of The Economy’.
The problem with seizing the narrative is, you have to be able to do it every day. He has seized it for tomorrow’s headlines. He just plain doesn’t have a follow-up for the day after that, or next Monday. He’s gonna need a lot more George Zimmermans and Trayvon Martins and Gay Marriages over the next 6 months.